AI-generated image description: Table showing years when markets were bullish but economists bearish, comparing S&P 500 changes, forecasted GDP growth, and actual GDP growth over next two quarters.

AI-extracted visible text:
Markets Bullish, Economists Bearish
Year Quarter S&P 500 Change, Prior 6 Months Forecasted G.D.P. Growth, Next 2 Quarters Actual G.D.P. Growth, Next 2 Quarters
1978 3 16.6% 1.2% 3.0%
1980 4 27.8% 1.9% 2.5%
1989 1 12.8% 2.0% 3.1%
1989 2 18.0% 1.8% 2.0%
1989 3 18.1% 1.9% 2.5%
1991 1 12.6% 1.0% 2.2%
1991 2 16.0% 2.4% 1.6%
1995 1 16.5% 2.3% 5.3%
1996 2 12.9% 2.1% 4.0%
1997 1 21.5% 2.3% 5.6%
1997 4 11.4% 2.5% 3.7%
1998 1 10.3% 2.2% 4.5%
1998 2 22.4% 2.4% 6.2%
1999 1 14.4% 2.4% 4.2%
2009 3 21.4% 2.4%

Originally embedded in "Aug. 17: Does a Bullish Stock Market Predict a Faster Recovery?", an article by Nate Silver: http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/aug-17-does-a-bullish-stock-market-predict-a-faster-recovery/

Original source URL: https://fivethirtyeight.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/08/18chart4-538-custom111.jpg

AI disclosure: Image descriptions and visible-text extraction were generated using Sonnet 4.6 by Anthropic.

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